{"id":829,"date":"2023-08-27T09:55:28","date_gmt":"2023-08-27T09:55:28","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/cncap.org.cn\/?p=829"},"modified":"2023-10-24T01:26:24","modified_gmt":"2023-10-24T01:26:24","slug":"meic%e5%9b%a2%e9%98%9f%e5%8f%91%e5%b8%83%e7%a2%b3%e4%b8%ad%e5%92%8c%e4%b8%8e%e6%b8%85%e6%b4%81%e7%a9%ba%e6%b0%94%e5%8d%8f%e5%90%8c%e8%b7%af%e5%be%84%e4%b8%8b%e4%b8%ad%e5%9b%bd%e5%a4%a7%e6%b0%94","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"http:\/\/cncap.org.cn\/?p=829","title":{"rendered":"MEIC\u56e2\u961f\u53d1\u5e03\u78b3\u4e2d\u548c\u4e0e\u6e05\u6d01\u7a7a\u6c14\u534f\u540c\u8def\u5f84\u4e0b\u4e2d\u56fd\u5927\u6c14\u6210\u5206\u672a\u6765\u6392\u653e\u60c5\u666f"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>2013\u5e74\u4ee5\u6765\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u5728\u5927\u6c14\u6c61\u67d3\u6cbb\u7406\u65b9\u9762\u53d6\u5f97\u4e86\u4ee4\u4eba\u77a9\u76ee\u7684\u6210\u5c31\uff0c\u4f46PM<sub>2.5<\/sub>\u6c61\u67d3\u4f9d\u7136\u4e25\u91cd\uff0c\u5e74\u5747\u6d53\u5ea6\u8d85\u8fc7\u4e16\u754c\u536b\u751f\u7ec4\u7ec7\u6307\u5bfc\u503c6\u500d\u4ee5\u4e0a\uff0c\u4e25\u91cd\u5371\u5bb3\u516c\u4f17\u5065\u5eb7\u3002\u968f\u7740\u4eba\u53e3\u8001\u9f84\u5316\u7684\u4e0d\u65ad\u52a0\u5267\uff0c\u7a7a\u6c14\u6c61\u67d3\u95ee\u9898\u5bf9\u8106\u5f31\u4eba\u7fa4\u7684\u5065\u5eb7\u5c06\u9020\u6210\u66f4\u5927\u5a01\u80c1\uff0c\u6301\u7eed\u6539\u5584\u7a7a\u6c14\u8d28\u91cf\u7684\u5fc5\u8981\u6027\u548c\u7d27\u8feb\u6027\u65e5\u76ca\u51f8\u663e\u3002\u7531\u4e8e\u6e29\u5ba4\u6c14\u4f53\u4e0e\u5927\u6c14\u6c61\u67d3\u7269\u540c\u6839\u540c\u6e90\uff0c\u5b9e\u65bd\u5e94\u5bf9\u6c14\u5019\u53d8\u5316\u653f\u7b56\u5c06\u5e26\u6765\u53ef\u89c2\u7684\u7a7a\u6c14\u8d28\u91cf\u4e0e\u5065\u5eb7\u6548\u76ca\u30022020\u5e74\u56fd\u5bb6\u63d0\u51fa\u78b3\u8fbe\u5cf0\u78b3\u4e2d\u548c\u76ee\u6807\u4e4b\u540e\uff0c\u5b9e\u65bd\u78b3\u4e2d\u548c\u4e0e\u6e05\u6d01\u7a7a\u6c14\u534f\u540c\u8def\u5f84\u6210\u4e3a\u6211\u56fd\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u63a8\u52a8\u7a7a\u6c14\u8d28\u91cf\u6539\u5584\u7684\u4e3b\u8981\u653f\u7b56\u9009\u62e9\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u4e3a\u5408\u7406\u523b\u753b\u78b3\u8fbe\u5cf0\u3001\u78b3\u4e2d\u548c\u4e0e\u6e05\u6d01\u7a7a\u6c14\u534f\u540c\u8def\u5f84\u4e0b\u4e2d\u56fd\u672a\u6765\u5927\u6c14\u6210\u5206\u6392\u653e\u53d8\u5316\uff0cMEIC\u56e2\u961f\u57fa\u4e8e\u81ea\u4e3b\u7814\u53d1\u7684\u4e2d\u56fd\u672a\u6765\u6392\u653e\u52a8\u6001\u8bc4\u4f30\u6a21\u578b\uff08Dynamic Projection model for Emissions in China\uff0c\u7b80\u79f0DPEC\uff09\uff0c\u901a\u8fc7\u4e0e\u7f8e\u56fd\u897f\u5317\u592a\u5e73\u6d0b\u56fd\u5bb6\u5b9e\u9a8c\u5ba4GCAM\u6a21\u578b\u56e2\u961f\u5408\u4f5c\uff0c\u6df1\u5ea6\u53c2\u4e0eGCAM-China\u6a21\u578b\u5f00\u53d1\uff0c\u5bf9GCAM-China\u6a21\u578b\u7ed3\u6784\u8fdb\u884c\u6539\u8fdb\uff0c\u5b9e\u73b0\u4e86\u5bf9\u591a\u90e8\u95e8\u591a\u884c\u4e1a\u78b3\u4e2d\u548c\u6280\u672f\u8def\u7ebf\u7684\u8be6\u7ec6\u63cf\u8ff0\u3002\u56e2\u961f\u540c\u65f6\u5c06GCAM-China\u6a21\u578b\u4e0eMEIC\u6a21\u578b\u8fdb\u884c\u8026\u5408\uff0c\u5efa\u7acb\u4e86\u81ea\u4e0b\u800c\u4e0a\u6280\u672f\u6f14\u66ff\u6a21\u578b\u4e0e\u81ea\u4e0a\u800c\u4e0b\u4f18\u5316\u6a21\u578b\u7ed3\u5408\u7684\u65b9\u6cd5\uff0c\u89e3\u51b3\u4e86\u7efc\u5408\u8bc4\u4f30\u6a21\u578b\u5728\u4f4e\u6392\u653e\u8def\u5f84\u4e0b\u8fd1\u4e2d\u671f\u6392\u653e\u4e0b\u964d\u8fc7\u65e9\u8fc7\u5feb\u3001\u96be\u4ee5\u6a21\u62df\u4e2d\u56fd\u78b3\u8fbe\u5cf0\u6392\u653e\u8def\u5f84\u7684\u95ee\u9898\uff0c\u5b9e\u73b0\u4e86\u5bf9\u8fd1\u4e2d\u671f\u6392\u653e\u8def\u5f84\u7684\u5408\u7406\u9884\u6d4b\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u5728\u4e0a\u8ff0\u65b9\u6cd5\u5b66\u6539\u8fdb\u57fa\u7840\u4e0a\uff0cMEIC\u56e2\u961f\u8fd1\u671f\u5b8c\u6210\u4e86<strong>DPEC v1.2<\/strong>\u60c5\u666f\u5f00\u53d1\u5de5\u4f5c\uff0c<strong>\u9488\u5bf9\u78b3\u8fbe\u5cf0\u3001\u78b3\u4e2d\u548c\u4e0e\u6e05\u6d01\u7a7a\u6c14\u534f\u540c\u8def\u5f84\u6784\u5efa\u4e86\u4e94\u5957\u4e0d\u540c\u529b\u5ea6\u7684\u51cf\u6392\u60c5\u666f\u3002<\/strong>\u4e94\u5957\u60c5\u666f\u5747\u7531\u793e\u4f1a\u7ecf\u6d4e\u8def\u5f84SSP1\u9a71\u52a8\uff0c\u5177\u4f53\u5206\u522b\u4e3a\uff1a1. baseline\uff0c\u672a\u6765\u4e0d\u518d\u5b9e\u65bd\u65b0\u7684\u78b3\u51cf\u6392\u4e0e\u7a7a\u6c14\u6c61\u67d3\u63a7\u5236\u63aa\u65bd\uff1b2. clean air\uff0c\u672a\u6765\u5b9e\u65bd\u4e25\u683c\u7684\u7a7a\u6c14\u6c61\u67d3\u672b\u7aef\u6cbb\u7406\u63aa\u65bd\uff0c\u4f46\u4e0d\u5b9e\u65bd\u65b0\u7684\u78b3\u51cf\u6392\u63aa\u65bd\uff1b3. on-time peak-clean air, 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src=\"http:\/\/cncap.org.cn\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/image-2-948x1024.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-832\" width=\"478\" height=\"516\" srcset=\"http:\/\/cncap.org.cn\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/image-2-948x1024.png 948w, http:\/\/cncap.org.cn\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/image-2-278x300.png 278w, http:\/\/cncap.org.cn\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/image-2-768x830.png 768w, http:\/\/cncap.org.cn\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/image-2.png 1080w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 478px) 100vw, 478px\" \/><\/figure><\/div>\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading has-text-align-center\">\u56fe1\u00a0DPEC\u60c5\u666f\uff08v1.2\uff09\u4e0b\u4e2d\u56fd2020-2060\u5e74\u4e3b\u8981\u6c61\u67d3\u7269\u6392\u653e\u53d8\u5316<\/h4>\n\n\n\n<p>DPEC v1.2\u60c5\u666f\u6570\u636e\u8986\u76d62020-2060\u5e74\uff0c\u5176\u4e2d2020\u5e74\u4e3a\u60c5\u666f\u57fa\u51c6\u5e74\uff0c\u6392\u653e\u91cf\u4e0eMEIC v1.4\u4e2d2020\u5e74\u6392\u653e\u91cf\u4fdd\u6301\u4e00\u81f4\u3002DPEC v1.2\u6570\u636e\u53ef\u4eceMEIC\u7f51\u7ad9\uff08<strong>http:\/\/meicmodel.org.cn<\/strong>\uff09\u4e0b\u8f7d\u3002\u4e3a\u65b9\u4fbf\u7528\u6237\u6bd4\u8f83\uff0cMEIC\u56e2\u961f\u540c\u65f6\u63d0\u4f9b\u4e865\u5957\u60c5\u666f\u4e0b\u4e2d\u56fd\u672a\u6765PM<sub>2.5<\/sub>\u6d53\u5ea6\u6a21\u62df\u7ed3\u679c\u6570\u636e\u4ee5\u53ca\u5bf9\u5e94\u7684CMAQ\u6a21\u578b\u914d\u7f6e\u53c2\u6570\uff0c\u76f8\u5173\u6570\u636e\u53ef\u4ece\u78b3\u4e2d\u548c\u4e0e\u6e05\u6d01\u7a7a\u6c14\u534f\u540c\u79d1\u5b66\u8bc4\u4f30\u4e0e\u51b3\u7b56\u652f\u6301\u5e73\u53f0\uff08CNCAP\uff09\u7f51\u7ad9\uff08<strong>http:\/\/cncap.org.cn<\/strong>\uff09\u4e0b\u8f7d\u3002\u5173\u4e8eDPEC v1.2\u60c5\u666f\u7684\u8be6\u7ec6\u4fe1\u606f\u53ef\u53c2\u89c1\u56e2\u961f\u8fd1\u671f\u53d1\u8868\u5728One Earth\u7684\u6587\u7ae0\u201cA synergistic approach to air pollution control and carbon neutrality in China can avoid millions of premature deaths annually by 2060\u201d\uff0c\u6587\u7ae0\u4e0b\u8f7d\u94fe\u63a5\u4e3a\uff1ahttps:\/\/doi.org\/10.1016\/j.oneear.2023.07.007\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-large is-resized\"><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" src=\"http:\/\/cncap.org.cn\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/image-3-653x1024.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-833\" width=\"419\" height=\"657\" srcset=\"http:\/\/cncap.org.cn\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/image-3-653x1024.png 653w, http:\/\/cncap.org.cn\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/image-3-191x300.png 191w, http:\/\/cncap.org.cn\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/image-3.png 659w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 419px) 100vw, 419px\" \/><\/figure><\/div>\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading has-text-align-center\">\u56fe2 \u4e0d\u540c\u60c5\u666f\u4e0b\u4e2d\u56fd\u78b3\u6392\u653e\u3001PM<sub>2.5<\/sub>\u66b4\u9732\u6c34\u5e73\u53ca\u76f8\u5173\u8fc7\u65e9\u6b7b\u4ea1\u4eba\u6570\u53d8\u5316<\/h4>\n\n\n\n<p>DPEC\u6a21\u578b\u7684\u6838\u5fc3\u529f\u80fd\u662f\u57fa\u4e8e\u6280\u672f\u6f14\u66ff\u7684\u672a\u6765\u6392\u653e\u53d8\u5316\u52a8\u6001\u6a21\u62df\u3002\u5176\u4e00\u65b9\u9762\u878d\u5408\u4e86MEIC\u6a21\u578b\u4e2d700\u591a\u79cd\u6c61\u67d3\u6e90\u7684\u5386\u53f2\u6280\u672f\u6f14\u66ff\u8fc7\u7a0b\uff0c\u5e76\u5728\u6b64\u57fa\u7840\u4e0a\u6839\u636e\u4e0d\u540c\u793e\u4f1a\u7ecf\u6d4e\u53d1\u5c55\u548c\u653f\u7b56\u6f14\u8fdb\u60c5\u666f\u6a21\u62df\u672a\u6765\u5404\u7c7b\u6c61\u67d3\u6e90\u7684\u6280\u672f\u6f14\u53d8\u8fdb\u7a0b\u53ca\u5176\u5bf9\u6392\u653e\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\uff1b\u53e6\u4e00\u65b9\u9762\u65e0\u7f1d\u8854\u63a5\u5168\u7403\u7efc\u5408\u8bc4\u4f30\u6a21\u578b\u4e2d\u56fd\u5d4c\u5957\u7248\u672cGCAM-China\uff0c\u5c06\u793e\u4f1a\u7ecf\u6d4e\u60c5\u666f\uff08SSP\uff09\u548c\u6c14\u5019\u76ee\u6807\u7ea6\u675f\uff08RCP\uff09\u4e0b\u7684\u672a\u6765\u80fd\u6e90\u9700\u6c42\u4e0e\u4f9b\u5e94\u60c5\u666f\u4e0e\u5404\u7c7b\u6c61\u67d3\u6e90\u7684\u6280\u672f\u6f14\u66ff\u6a21\u578b\u9010\u4e00\u6620\u5c04\uff0c\u4ece\u800c\u5b9e\u73b0\u4e86\u5728\u4e0d\u540c\u793e\u4f1a\u7ecf\u6d4e\u60c5\u666f\u548c\u6c14\u5019\u76ee\u6807\u7ea6\u675f\u4e0b\u4e2d\u56fd\u672a\u6765\u5927\u6c14\u6210\u5206\u6392\u653e\u53d8\u5316\u7684\u7cbe\u7ec6\u5316\u6a21\u62df\u3002\u6700\u540e\uff0c\u901a\u8fc7\u4e0e\u591a\u5c3a\u5ea6\u6392\u653e\u6e05\u5355\u518d\u5206\u6790\u4e0e\u6570\u636e\u5171\u4eab\u5e73\u53f0\u94fe\u63a5\uff0cDPEC\u6a21\u578b\u5728\u7ebf\u63d0\u4f9b\u4e2d\u56fd\u672a\u6765\u4e0d\u540c\u60c5\u666f\u4e0b\u7684\u7f51\u683c\u5316\u5927\u6c14\u6210\u5206\u6392\u653e\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u6570\u636e\u683c\u5f0f\u4e0eMEIC\u6a21\u578b\u63d0\u4f9b\u7684\u6570\u636e\u683c\u5f0f\u4e00\u81f4\u3002<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>MEIC\u56e2\u961f\u53d1\u5e03\u78b3\u4e2d\u548c\u4e0e\u6e05\u6d01\u7a7a\u6c14\u534f\u540c\u8def\u5f84\u4e0b\u4e2d\u56fd\u5927\u6c14\u6210\u5206\u672a\u6765\u6392\u653e\u60c5\u666f<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":831,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[1],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"http:\/\/cncap.org.cn\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/829"}],"collection":[{"href":"http:\/\/cncap.org.cn\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"http:\/\/cncap.org.cn\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/cncap.org.cn\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/cncap.org.cn\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=829"}],"version-history":[{"count":9,"href":"http:\/\/cncap.org.cn\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/829\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":869,"href":"http:\/\/cncap.org.cn\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/829\/revisions\/869"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/cncap.org.cn\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/831"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"http:\/\/cncap.org.cn\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=829"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/cncap.org.cn\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=829"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/cncap.org.cn\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=829"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}